Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 584.644663 654.621369 732.068375 824.577365 932.640846 1055.575088 1206.995583
2025-02-16 478.957808 571.659665 683.209177 829.089861 1017.481274 1256.310652 1588.164233
2025-02-23 428.912577 532.883633 664.854912 848.073047 1101.469127 1448.392352 1975.630026
2025-03-02 392.025406 502.892322 649.812510 864.112050 1178.236093 1638.204258 2396.384443
2025-03-09 358.393115 471.711475 627.217325 863.490223 1227.256960 1791.875558 2792.772339
2025-03-16 327.679435 440.522274 599.938105 850.651989 1253.322194 1911.222667 3156.968603
2025-03-23 308.576558 423.414176 590.294628 861.834949 1316.864238 2100.462166 3691.090748
2025-03-30 283.663022 395.332819 561.156173 838.192887 1318.211903 2180.494678 4034.127767
2025-04-06 262.667541 371.232884 535.629668 816.991240 1319.832584 2259.751363 4395.087744
2025-04-13 243.418229 348.244238 509.715990 792.021867 1310.698851 2315.823672 4719.377407
2025-04-20 236.038188 342.985735 511.384398 814.056549 1390.748356 2563.528575 5572.212933
2025-04-27 225.261236 331.486181 501.769879 814.885199 1429.873693 2732.901178 6287.451749
2025-05-04 216.011211 322.390222 496.384522 824.700012 1492.447499 2976.799575 7336.402605
2025-05-11 205.151040 309.989063 484.525761 821.524639 1528.841538 3171.974923 8347.092286
2025-05-18 199.069299 305.000048 484.913033 841.514915 1617.680747 3516.766287 10028.019748
2025-05-25 192.813998 299.212084 483.289450 857.197630 1699.583228 3866.866661 11957.778264
2025-06-01 184.778525 289.771846 474.216151 856.612893 1743.605949 4126.553233 13722.621000
2025-06-08 175.792139 278.084407 460.076866 843.900750 1756.414798 4300.742055 15256.478985
2025-06-15 170.554505 272.696301 457.288085 854.970477 1830.205860 4681.852513 18096.595616
2025-06-22 161.507690 259.929143 439.519806 831.568748 1811.841681 4766.248534 19493.816982
2025-06-29 153.409457 248.457234 423.511583 810.581131 1796.946355 4859.996497 21052.265495
2025-07-06 145.450639 236.844003 406.517935 785.861801 1768.629881 4901.889014 22363.519228
2025-07-13 143.145220 235.534504 409.731801 807.675940 1872.691454 5451.674207 27696.959559